Roybal Center for Health Policy Simulation

Moving health simulation findings into programs, practices, and policies


Center Model is Centerpiece of a National Academy of Sciences Report

September 23, 2015

In a new National Academy of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine report, a committee chaired by Ronald Lee (U.C. Berkeley) and Peter R. Orszag (Citigroup) collaborated with Roybal Center researchers to investigate the macroeconomic implications of trends in health inequality in the US. Using the Center’s Future Elderly Model (FEM), the committee examined how changes in life expectancy will likely affect the progressivity of federal programs. Findings suggest significant reductions in progressivity of both Medicare and Social

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USC Roybal Center for Health Policy Simulation renewed by NIH

July 9, 2015

The National Institutes of Health (NIH) has renewed the Roybal Center for Health Policy Simulation’s funding for an additional five years. For nearly 10 years, the Center—housed by the University of Southern California’s Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics—has addressed salient health policy questions to improve outcomes for the aging United States population. Previous research includes developing models that have explored the link between population health and economic outcomes, predicting how social policies will affect the well-being of current

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Center faculty offer expertise on Medicare’s future

June 6, 2015

In a new report, Roybal Center faculty use the Future Elderly Model (FEM) to generate a snapshot of changing Medicare demographics and spending between 2010 and 2030. During this period, the baby boomers, who began turning 65 and aging into Medicare in 2011, will drive Medicare demographic changes, swelling the estimated U.S. population aged 65 or older from 39.7 million to 67.0 million. Fueled by  demographic and health shifts, the FEM predicts that Medicare spending will more than double to $1.2

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